Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.087842 0.103180 0.120323 0.140895 0.164904 0.192034 0.225013
2025-12-14 0.062831 0.081840 0.105289 0.136309 0.176238 0.225888 0.292313
2025-12-21 0.049369 0.069718 0.096831 0.135520 0.189252 0.261188 0.364801
2025-12-28 0.042077 0.063533 0.093996 0.140271 0.208677 0.305973 0.454833
2026-01-04 0.036911 0.059065 0.092299 0.145587 0.228715 0.353274 0.553980
2026-01-11 0.032493 0.054776 0.089891 0.148984 0.245703 0.397504 0.653640
2026-01-18 0.028391 0.050205 0.086172 0.149435 0.257625 0.434759 0.746451
2026-01-25 0.024146 0.044655 0.079931 0.144600 0.259817 0.456030 0.815036
2026-02-01 0.020434 0.039422 0.073411 0.138193 0.258135 0.470078 0.872307
2026-02-08 0.017862 0.035856 0.069294 0.135393 0.262260 0.494308 0.949980
2026-02-15 0.015571 0.032468 0.065005 0.131602 0.263879 0.513883 1.020985
2026-02-22 0.014191 0.030667 0.063478 0.132864 0.275184 0.552557 1.132502
2026-03-01 0.012633 0.028383 0.060916 0.132202 0.283606 0.588672 1.247811
2026-03-08 0.011001 0.025701 0.057193 0.128693 0.285933 0.613438 1.344577
2026-03-15 0.009844 0.023875 0.055007 0.128132 0.294389 0.651818 1.475038
2026-03-22 0.009215 0.023155 0.055125 0.132673 0.314607 0.717579 1.673335
2026-03-29 0.008680 0.022568 0.055451 0.137717 0.336627 0.789990 1.895935
2026-04-05 0.008080 0.021721 0.055039 0.140936 0.354807 0.856001 2.112458
2026-04-12 0.007386 0.020515 0.053577 0.141364 0.366309 0.907978 2.302617
2026-04-19 0.006515 0.018697 0.050320 0.136786 0.364758 0.928722 2.419687
2026-04-26 0.005685 0.016847 0.046700 0.130718 0.358531 0.937205 2.507243
2026-05-03 0.005104 0.015599 0.044486 0.128067 0.360859 0.967336 2.654106
2026-05-10 0.004552 0.014343 0.042063 0.124478 0.360147 0.989547 2.783104